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New Saudi plot: continuous destabilization of the Middle East

New Saudi plot: continuous destabilization of the Middle East | Youtube snapshot

The Syrian Arab Army and allied forces have liberated al-Bukamal town, the last stronghold of the so-called Islamic State (ISIS), leaving that infamous terrorist organization without any significant presence in Syria's urban areas. In Iraq, Iraqi forces continue to clear remaining areas from terrorists. It is just a matter of time to declare total defeat of ISIS in Iraq and Syria.

The imminent defeat of the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq was anticipated several months ago, and as ISIS is being eradicated, there are now interesting developments in Lebanon's and regional political lives. This past week, Lebanon's Prime Minister Sa'ad Hariri, who holds both Lebanese and Saudi citizenship resigned. The Saudi regime arrested eleven princes and dozens of ministers and businessmen.

Thinking that ISIS defeat will bring peace and stability to Syria and Iraq cannot be further from the truth. The Saudi regime has invested too much in the failed project of regime change in Syria and the destabilization of Iraq through their proxies, ISIS included. Strangely, in spite of the forming of the so-called “US-led coalition” against ISIS, and its an aerial campaign against ISIS targets, the terrorist organization had been getting bigger and stronger, and nothing prevented them from capturing huge parts of Syria and Iraq. The Russian military intervention in Syria was the real start of ISIS downfall, which is a fact that speaks for itself.

One should always bear in mind that rise of ISIS couldn't have happened without the direct support of Gulf regimes and the United States turning blind eyes on them just before June 2014 when a few hundred ISIS terrorists took Mosul in Iraq, and much later, as the leaked January 2017 audio recording of John Kerry showed. ISIS was a powerful tool in the American effort to topple the Syrian President, Bashar Al-Assad. Regime change in Syria was imperative, because without that and the installation of a puppet government, it would be very hard to reach the ultimate goal which brought the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia in unholy alliance: Iran.

With the Saudi proxies destroyed and all their plans miserably failed, the Riyadh regime is trying another way to harm Iran and Hezbollah, this time threatening Lebanon, which suits perfectly one entity who sees Iran and Hezbollah as their biggest threat – Israel. As it seems, the Saudi regime is trying to play a dangerous card threatening the peace and stability of Lebanon. With Saudi calls for its citizens to leave Lebanon as soon as possible, something is being prepared, most probably some form of military intervention of the Israeli regime on Saudi's behalf.

The “Saudi purge” targeted not just people, but their finances. Aside from Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, who is most likely the heir to the throne—and with this purge he is strengthening his position before he comes to power—note that the people who were arrested are worth more than $800 billion, with corruption charges of more than $100 billion.

The proxy war in Syria cost a lot of money, the criminal Saudi aggression on Yemen even more. Imagine the cost of a new proxy war, this time against Lebanon. Saudis will for sure offer the Israeli regime a huge amount of money for them to militarily intervene in Lebanon, mutually benefiting both. Possibly, Saudi forces could also get directly involved.

ZeroHedge reported about leaked secret diplomatic cable citing Barak Ravid from Israeli Chanel 10 News in which has been clearly shown Israeli support to Saudi Arabia in their actions against Hezbollah and Iran. Barak Ravid posted series of tweets revealing that Israel and Saudi Arabia are in fact in some sort of secret alliance.

As Ravid posted from a cable, “You need to stress that the Hariri resignation shows how dangerous Iran and Hezbollah are for Lebanon's security.” He further said that "Hariri's resignation proves wrong the argument that Hezbollah participation in the government stabilizes Lebanon."

We should take a good look at what Hariri said months ago, and that is if he resigns, someone else will take his place and form the government with Hezbollah. That is an acknowledgement that no political force in Lebanon can form a government without Hezbollah who have a huge support in Shia population, and even among Sunni and Christian populations. With his statement, he gave a full legal credibility to Hezbollah. Hezbollah's leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, would never jeopardize the political legitimacy of his party.

Further more, any speculations about Saudi regime holding Hariri against his will should be taken with caution until it is confirmed, even though it wouldn't be surprising given the fact that close members of Royal family were arrested.

Basically, Israel and Saudi Arabia are plotting through Lebanon and Hezbollah military intervention against Iran, and with all their recent actions, they are trying to provoke Iran. False flag operations could also be expected.

It's easy to predict that the US administration will support any actions against both Hezbollah and Iran, but very hard to predict would the US enter in direct military confrontation. Iran is a powerful state and any action against Iran will be painful for the perpetrators. The Saudi regime is too weak and afraid to go alone in such action, but with the alliance with the Israeli regime, an attack on Iran could be quite possible. Plans for Israeli forces to use Saudi air bases for possible airstrikes on Iran are not new and today we are witnessing how close we are to such scenario.

After the failed project of regime change in Syria, Hezbollah has become the main target in a joint Saudi-Israeli plan to suppress Iranian influence in the region. But one single fact still remains and should be taken very seriously: today Hezbollah is not only the force who defeated and humiliated the armed forces of Israeli regime in 2006. Today Hezbollah is much, much stronger.

Matija Lukač

Matija Lukač is a pro-Syrian activist and researcher of the Syrian conflict; he is also a Special Assistant and Contributor for the Middle East and Syria at the GlobalCIR website.